Rafael Nadal vs Nick Kyrgios Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, both Rafael Nadal and Nick Kyrgios have struggled with their second serve, each winning 0% of points.
• Questions arise: Does the lack of strong return games for both players affect their chances in this match? Answer: Indeed, as both have won 0% of second serve return points recently.
• Both players have not saved breakpoints efficiently, each registering a 0% breakpoint save rate.
• Overall match performance over the past year shows Nadal with a 0% win rate (W/L 0/0), while Kyrgios has a 20% win rate (W/L 1/4).
• On clay, Nadal excels with a career win rate of 90%, in stark contrast to Kyrgios' 58% on indoor hard surfaces.
• Kyrgios has experienced more success on grass with a win rate of 90%, suggesting either player's performance may be surface-dependent.
• Kyrgios has recently played mainly at the Masters level, with a 33.33% win rate (W/L 1/2), compared to Nadal, who has not competed recently.
• Head-to-head results favor Nadal, with 6 wins out of 9 encounters, and he also leads in sets won (16 to 11).
• Matches between them typically last around 2 hours and 28 minutes, indicating closely contested bouts.
• In past deciders, Nadal leads 2-1, giving him a potential edge if the match is tightly contested.
• Under high-pressure conditions, their tiebreak record is evenly split at 5 each.
• In terms of opponent quality, Kyrgios has faced players with an average rank of 67.2 over the past year, while Nadal's opponent quality data is absent.
• When entering a final set, Kyrgios boasts a superior performance (50% win rate), over Nadal's 0% in the past year.

Editorial Prediction (December 22, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing their recent form, both players have shown significant issues with second serve performance and saving breakpoints. This could present opportunities for both to secure critical points off their opponent's serve, though neither appears to have a distinct advantage in pressuring returns.

Nadal's historical success on clay and head-to-head superiority imply a potential edge. However, the current form suggests room for Kyrgios to capitalize, especially with Nadal's lack of recent competitive play at high levels.

The consistency in Kyrgios's recent participation at the Masters level indicates an edge in match readiness. Therefore, if he uses this to his advantage, Kyrgios may present a challenge.

Considering their head-to-head history, surface preference, and current form, Kyrgios seems more battle-prepared for this encounter. Taking all aspects into account, Nick Kyrgios is slightly more likely to win the upcoming tennis match.